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RedesigningAIforHuman
Course dates

13, 16, 20, 23, 27, 30
of April 2026

Session format

6 sessions • 18h00 – 21h00

Status

Registrations open

From Forecasting to Foresight: Redesigning AI for Human Relevance

Despite billions invested, 80% of AI solutions fail to deliver promised value or achieve long-term adoption, and 95% of generative AI pilot projects fail to generate measurable value. This catastrophe signals a fundamental design failure, not a technical one. We are creating systems that are “technologically brilliant… but, humanly irrelevant”

This course moves beyond surface-level design and tackles the systemic flaw: the industry’s reliance on Forecasting. Forecasting uses the past and present to predict the future, excelling at optimising what is probable but failing to perceive what is preferable. This results in systems that are “statistically correct, but humanly wrong”, automating the user’s existing dysfunction.

Participants will learn how to integrate foresight and the powerful methodology of backcasting. Backcasting turns possibilities into plans by starting from a desirable future state — habits, priorities, or skills — and working backward to define today’s design decisions.

Building on my doctoral research, I’ll introduce behavior change frameworks built on Backcasting. These models show that designing AI isn’t just about creating functionality — it’s about projecting human change. Attendees will learn how to shift AI from being accurate to being relevant — systems that understand human change, not just predict behavior.

Syllabus

Module 1: The 80% Problem – Why AI Systems Fail

Diagnose the fundamental design flaws causing widespread AI failure

  • The Forecasting Fallacy: Why data-driven prediction creates humanly irrelevant systems
  • The three missing human elements: Intent, Foresight, and Agency
  • Case study analysis: Decoding high-profile AI failures
  • “Putting AI on a pig”: How companies automate dysfunction instead of solving problems
  • Exercise: Identify which of the three gaps (Intent, Foresight, Agency) are present in 2-3 AI products you use daily. (Goal: Just name the gap, not solve it yet.)

Module 2: From Design Thinking to Anticipatory Design

Understand why traditional UX methods fall short for AI systems

  • The limitations of present-focused design for future-predicting systems
  • Why AI requires a different mindset: Predicting and shaping future behavior
  • Introduction to Foresight: Moving from “what is” to “what could be”
  • Backcasting vs. Forecasting: Working backward from desired futures
  • Exercise: Map your current design process and identify where it’s present-focused vs. future-oriented. And identify opportunities where you could add a future-oriented focus.

Module 3: Trade-offs and Ethical Considerations

Understand the technical landscape and inherent trade-offs

  • Precision vs. Explainability: When accuracy sacrifices transparency
  • Personalization vs. Privacy: Balancing adaptation with data protection
  • Automation vs. Agency: How much control should users have?
  • Proactive vs. Reactive: When should AI intervene vs. wait?
  • Exercise: Pick one AI product you use. Identify at least 2 trade-offs the designers made (e.g., “Spotify automates playlists [Automation] but limits manual control [Agency]”). Discuss: Would you design it differently?

Module 4: Behavioral Foundations (Part 1: Agency)

Understand why traditional UX methods fall short for AI systems

  • The limitations of present-focused design for future-predicting systems
  • Why AI requires a different mindset: Predicting and shaping future behavior
  • Introduction to Foresight: Moving from “what is” to “what could be”
  • Backcasting vs. Forecasting: Working backward from desired futures
  • Exercise: Map your current design process and identify where it’s present-focused vs. future-oriented. And identify opportunities where you could add a future-oriented focus.

Module 5: Behavioral Foundations (Part 2: Personalization)

Apply Prochaska’s Transtheoretical Model for stage-adaptive AI

  • The five stages of change: Precontemplation → Maintenance
  • Why one-size-fits-all AI fails: The personalization imperative
  • Designing stage-appropriate interventions for beginners vs. experts
  • Avoiding premature optimization: Matching AI behavior to user readiness
  • Exercise: Map user journey stages and design differentiated AI responses

Module 6: Behavioral Foundations (Part 3: Context)

Master contextual timing with Nudge Theory

  • Context as catalyst: Why the right intervention at the wrong time fails
  • Nudge Theory fundamentals: Choice architecture for AI
  • Cognitive, emotional, and situational context: When to act vs. when to recede
  • Ethical boundaries: Designing AI that respects intent, not just predicts patterns
  • Exercise: Create contextual intervention rules for an AI system

Module 7: Anticipate – Understanding Emerging Behaviors

Learn to identify trends and weak signals that shape user futures

  • Introducing the AIS Framework: How Anticipate → Imagine → Shape integrates the behavioral tools you’ve learned (Fogg, Prochaska, Nudge)
  • Project kickoff: Select one AI product/feature to redesign using the complete AIS Framework (this will be your through-line for Modules 7-9)
  • The Anticipate phase: Moving from current user research to emerging behaviors
  • Beyond user research: How to integrate trend analysis with qualitative methods
  • Application of the STEEP tool: Analyzing Social, Technological, Economic, Environmental, and Political forces
  • Weak signal detection: Spotting emerging behaviors before they become obvious
  • Workshop: Conduct a trend analysis for the selected AI product
  • Deliverable: Trend map identifying forces that will change user behavior

Module 8: Imagine – Designing for Multiple Futures

Master scenario planning and backcasting for adaptive AI systems

  • Scenario planning fundamentals: Creating optimistic, pessimistic, and alternative futures
  • The 4-step backcasting process: From desired future to today’s decisions
  • Avoiding single-future traps: Why “the best solution” thinking fails in AI
  • How to prepare cross-functional scenario workshops: Aligning designers, PMs, and engineers
  • Workshop: Create 3 scenarios for YOUR AI product (from Module 7) and backcast from each
  • Deliverable: Scenario plans with a backcasting roadmap for your project

Module 9: Shape – Prototyping and Iteration

Transform scenarios into testable, behavioral systems

  • From scenarios to prototypes: Making futures tangible
  • Iterative design for AI: Build → Test → Learn → Refine
  • Calibrating the three frameworks: Integrating Fogg, Prochaska, and Nudge in practice
  • Behavioral alignment testing: Validating beyond usability (methods + metrics)
  • Workshop: Prototype and test the scenario(s) (from Module 8) using all three behavioral frameworks

Module 10:  Synthesis and Presentation

Package and present the complete case study

  • Synthesizing the work: Integrating Anticipate → Imagine → Shape into one coherent narrative
  • Packaging the case study: Presenting the work professionally (structure, storytelling, visual communication)
  • Creating a validation plan: Demonstrating how students would test behavioral alignment in the real world
  • Peer review and feedback session
Target audience
Primary:

  • Product Designers working on AI-powered products who need frameworks to evaluate and improve intelligent systems
  • Product Managers leading AI initiatives who want to understand why technical accuracy ≠ user satisfaction
  • Service Designers creating end-to-end experiences involving AI touchpoints

Secondary:

  • Design Researchers conducting studies for AI products
  • AI/ML Engineers who want to understand the human side of their models
  • Product Strategists planning AI roadmaps
  • Innovation Leads exploring AI opportunities
Key learnings
  • Diagnose the Forecasting Fallacy: Uncover why AI fails when driven only by past and present data. Learn to integrate backcasting with forecasting to design systems that align with preferable futures.
  • Design for User Agency: Use Fogg’s Model within the behavior change framework to design AI that empowers users—aligning motivation, ability, and timing so people act with control, not react to predictions.
  • Personalise & Contextualise Interventions: Apply the Transtheoretical Model and Nudge Theory to tailor AI experiences to readiness for change, ensuring timely, ethical interventions that respect intent
Prices and Packs

Individual

375

c/IVA incluído

Equipas (3 pessoas)

1050

c/IVA incluído
Trainer
Joana Cerejo

Joana Cerejo

Design Lead & AI Product Designer

Biography

Joana Cerejo is a UX Lead and researcher specializing in human-centered AI, with a PhD in Digital Media from the University of Porto. With a decade of experience designing intelligent services, her work combines strategic thinking, behavioral science, and foresight to address the critical gap between AI’s technical capabilities and its ability to serve real human needs.

She is the author of The Anticipatory Design Playbook, which tackles the gap between statistically correct AI and humanly relevant design—helping practitioners build systems that don’t just predict behavior, but support meaningful human change.

Nominated for the VentureBeat Women in AI Awards in 2021, Joana has published extensively in UXmatters, Smashing Magazine, and UXPA. She teaches at universities and technical schools, mentoring designers toward critical, responsible approaches to intelligent systems.

Course curator
João Lima formador

João Lima

uiux.pt founder and curator

LinkedIn
joaolima@uiux.pt

Course reviewers

To be defined

N/A

To be defined

N/A

Questões frequentes

Workshop learning modality

The workshop will be held live, remotely.
There will be 6 sessions of 3 hours each, from 6:00 PM to 9:00 PM – GMT+00:00 (WET).
Recordings will not be available for later viewing of the sessions. The communication platform to be used will be Google Meet. All details, hyperlinks, and recommendations will be added later.

Softwares and licenses

Nowadays, platforms for ideation, design, and testing are highly dynamic and accessible. There is no obligation to use specific software for the workshop. However, for group exercises and interactive whiteboards, Figma/Figjam in its free/school version can be used.

Language of the Workshop sessions

The sessions in this edition are entirely in English.

Certification and proof

Participants who complete the course with a minimum attendance of 80% of the synchronous sessions will receive a Certificate of Completion, attesting to their participation and the knowledge acquired, with a breakdown of the topics covered. This certificate recognizes the student’s commitment and technical progress, serving as proof of specialized professional development.

This training is not certified by DGERT. uiux.pt chooses not to follow the DGERT certification model because it believes in a more flexible, student-centered approach adapted to the real demands of the market. We prioritize practical experiences, constantly updated content, and pedagogical freedom to innovate without bureaucratic limitations.

Teaching materials

All resources used for teaching will be provided: slides, diagrams and interactive whiteboards developed in groups, supplementary bibliography, and access to files of practical work.

Serialized Certificate of Completion
uiux.pt_certificado
seriacao_certificado_uiux.pt
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